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Lipid Profile Components and Risk of Ischemic StrokeThe Northern Manhattan Study (NOMAS)
Joshua Z. Willey, MD, MS;
Qiang Xu, PhD;
Bernadette Boden-Albala, DrPH;
Myunghee C. Paik, PhD;
Yeseon Park Moon, MPH;
Ralph L. Sacco, MD, MS;
Mitchell S. V. Elkind, MD, MS
Arch Neurol. 2009;66(11):1400-1406.
Objective To explore the relationship between lipid profile components and incident ischemic stroke in a stroke-free prospective cohort.
Design Population-based prospective cohort study.
Setting Northern Manhattan, New York.
Patients Stroke-free community residents.
Intervention As part of the Northern Manhattan Study, baseline fasting blood samples were collected on stroke-free community residents followed up for a mean of 7.5 years.
Main Outcome Measures Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for lipid profile components and ischemic stroke after adjusting for demographic and risk factors. In secondary analyses, we used repeated lipid measures over 5 years from a 10% sample of the population to calculate the change per year of each of the lipid parameters and to impute time-dependent lipid parameters for the full cohort.
Results After excluding those with a history of myocardial infarction, 2940 participants were available for analysis. Baseline high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglyceride, and total cholesterol levels were not associated with risk of ischemic stroke. Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and non–high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels were associated with a paradoxical reduction in risk of stroke. There was an interaction with use of cholesterol-lowering medication on follow-up, such that LDL-C level was only associated with a reduction in stroke risk among those taking medications. An LDL-C level greater than 130 mg/dL as a time-dependent covariate showed an increased risk of ischemic stroke (adjusted hazard ratio, 3.81; 95% confidence interval, 1.53-9.51).
Conclusions Baseline lipid panel components were not associated with an increased stroke risk in this cohort. Treatment with cholesterol-lowering medications and changes in LDL-C level over time may have attenuated the risk in this population, and lipid measurements at several points may be a better marker of stroke risk.
Author Affiliations: Department of Neurology, College of Physicians and Surgeons (Drs Willey, Boden-Albala, Moon, and Elkind), and Departments of Sociomedical Science (Dr Boden-Albala) and Biostatistics (Dr Paik), Joseph P. Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, and the Columbia University Medical Center of New York Presbyterian Hospital (Drs Willey, Boden-Albala, Moon, and Elkind), New York; Food and Drug Administration, Rockville, Maryland (Dr Xu); and Department of Neurology, Miller School of Medicine, University of Miami, Miami, Florida (Dr Sacco).
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